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21 Sept 2025 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.4%
Mallorca
26.8%
Draw
48.7%
Ath Madrid

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Mallorca

vs
1.47

Ath Madrid

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
0-1
12.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).