Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Melksham Town
21.5%
Draw
44.1%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Melksham Town
vs
1.88
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS67.9%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).