Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.1%
Sociedad B
21.4%
Draw
15.5%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Sociedad B
vs
0.81
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.6%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).