Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.4%
Barnstaple Town
11.8%
Draw
8.8%
Falmouth Town
Expected Goals (xG)
3.18
Barnstaple Town
vs
1.03
Falmouth Town
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.1%
Over 2.579.0%
Over 3.560.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.2%
3-0
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
4-1
6.5%
4-0
6.3%
1-0
4.9%
1-1
4.7%
3-2
4.2%
5-1
4.1%
5-0
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).