Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.7%
Nott'm Forest
25.8%
Draw
15.5%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.75
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).