Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Tranmere
25.9%
Draw
44.3%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Tranmere
vs
1.29
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).