Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Vizela
24.0%
Draw
38.1%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Vizela
vs
1.43
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
0-1
8.7%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
0-0
5.2%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).