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25 Oct 2024 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.8%
Pogoń Szczecin
19.4%
Draw
13.8%
Puszcza Niepołomice

Expected Goals (xG)

2.37

Pogoń Szczecin

vs
1.01

Puszcza Niepołomice

Markets

BTTS58.4%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
3-0
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
4-0
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).