Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Grimsby
23.4%
Draw
22.1%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Grimsby
vs
1.20
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).