Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Empoli
27.8%
Draw
29.0%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Empoli
vs
1.20
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).