Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Port Vale
22.2%
Draw
55.8%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Port Vale
vs
1.69
Oxford
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
10.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
6.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).