Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.3%
Tromsø
8.3%
Draw
3.4%
Lillestrøm
Expected Goals (xG)
3.23
Tromsø
vs
0.54
Lillestrøm
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.572.6%
Over 3.552.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.0%
2-0
12.0%
4-0
10.5%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
7.0%
5-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
4-1
5.6%
1-1
4.0%
5-1
3.7%
0-0
2.3%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).