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01 Mar 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk
14.7%
Draw
5.9%
Oleksandria

Expected Goals (xG)

2.42

Shakhtar Donetsk

vs
0.52

Oleksandria

Markets

BTTS36.9%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.5%
1-0
12.6%
3-0
12.5%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
7.6%
1-1
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-0
3.7%
0-1
2.5%
2-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).