Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.3%
Cremonese
22.9%
Draw
15.8%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Cremonese
vs
0.93
Spezia
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).