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29 Nov 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.9%
Leicester
25.6%
Draw
44.5%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Leicester

vs
1.69

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS61.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-1
7.2%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).