Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.1%
Guimaraes
21.4%
Draw
14.5%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Guimaraes
vs
0.70
Boavista
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
13.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
7.9%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).