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28 Dec 2022 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.8%
Alanyaspor
32.8%
Draw
18.4%
Kayserispor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Alanyaspor

vs
0.84

Kayserispor

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.4%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).