Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.3%
FC Koln
20.7%
Draw
14.0%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
FC Koln
vs
0.90
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).