Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.4%
Paris SG
20.7%
Draw
12.9%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Paris SG
vs
0.63
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
2-0
14.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
8.6%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).