Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.9%
Frosinone
24.2%
Draw
14.8%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Frosinone
vs
0.81
Brescia
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
1-0
12.0%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).