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HHT: 00CSV

04 Mar 2017

Wigan

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.0%
Blackburn
33.6%
Draw
20.4%
Wigan

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Blackburn

vs
0.65

Wigan

Markets

BTTS33.3%
Over 0.582.2%
Over 1.554.0%
Over 2.526.4%
Over 3.510.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.1%
0-0
17.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).