Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Hartlepool
28.2%
Draw
18.0%
Truro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Hartlepool
vs
0.76
Truro
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
11.7%
0-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).