Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.7%
Nailsea & Tickenham
17.3%
Draw
60.0%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Nailsea & Tickenham
vs
2.71
Reading
Markets
BTTS75.6%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.593.1%
Over 2.581.3%
Over 3.563.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
2-3
5.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
1-4
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
0-3
4.2%
2-4
3.9%
3-2
3.6%
0-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).