Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.8%
Freiburg
19.0%
Draw
10.2%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Freiburg
vs
0.74
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.1%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.7%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).