Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.6%
Espanol
16.0%
Draw
71.4%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Espanol
vs
2.69
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS61.5%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.572.5%
Over 3.551.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
8.1%
0-3
7.5%
1-1
6.8%
0-1
6.1%
1-4
5.4%
0-4
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
2-3
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
1-5
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).