Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.3%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
29.2%
Draw
47.5%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
1.38
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
13.4%
0-0
11.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).