Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Union Berlin
25.2%
Draw
18.8%
Bochum
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Union Berlin
vs
0.91
Bochum
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
6.2%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).