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AHT: 10CSV

07 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.9%
Eupen
22.9%
Draw
64.2%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Eupen

vs
1.85

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS43.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
4.9%
0-4
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).