Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Lincoln
23.3%
Draw
26.6%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Lincoln
vs
1.05
Charlton
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).