Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Espanol
26.0%
Draw
12.8%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Espanol
vs
0.51
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS30.8%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.558.9%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.3%
2-0
14.9%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-0
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
1.9%
0-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).