Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Santander
17.7%
Draw
14.9%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Santander
vs
1.04
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
1-1
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
7.4%
2-2
5.0%
4-1
4.6%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).