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AHT: 00CSV

03 Sept 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.6%
Osnabruck
19.5%
Draw
69.9%
Elversberg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Osnabruck

vs
2.25

Elversberg

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.2%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
1-1
9.3%
0-3
9.2%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-4
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
1-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).