Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.6%
Crotone
17.9%
Draw
64.4%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Crotone
vs
2.44
Genoa
Markets
BTTS64.1%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.6%
1-1
7.5%
0-1
6.4%
0-3
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-3
4.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).