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AHT: 01CSV

25 Jan 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.0%
Scunthorpe
25.3%
Draw
48.7%
Bristol Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Scunthorpe

vs
1.46

Bristol Rvs

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.2%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).