Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.4%
Hamburg
14.5%
Draw
78.1%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Hamburg
vs
2.73
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.3%
0-3
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
1-3
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
0-4
7.0%
1-1
6.8%
1-4
5.4%
0-5
3.8%
0-0
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).