Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.9%
Boavista
22.4%
Draw
62.7%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Boavista
vs
1.71
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
3.6%
0-4
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).