Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Farense
23.5%
Draw
46.1%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Farense
vs
1.61
Estoril
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.1%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).