Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.9%
Accrington
28.4%
Draw
32.7%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Accrington
vs
1.01
Crewe
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).