Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Spartans
26.1%
Draw
37.6%
East Kilbride
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Spartans
vs
1.72
East Kilbride
Markets
BTTS68.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
7.0%
0-0
5.0%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
2-3
4.0%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).