Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.4%
Montpellier
21.2%
Draw
64.4%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Montpellier
vs
1.86
Brest
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.0%
0-0
7.2%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.8%
0-4
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).