Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.4%
Burnley
32.3%
Draw
38.3%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Burnley
vs
1.21
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.1%
0-0
12.4%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).