Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Reggiana
33.9%
Draw
37.3%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Reggiana
vs
1.05
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.531.0%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.6%
1-1
14.8%
0-1
13.7%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).