Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.1%
Almeria
21.5%
Draw
16.3%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Almeria
vs
0.85
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.3%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).