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DHT: 01

23 Aug 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.8%
Alanyaspor
38.6%
Draw
33.6%
Göztepe

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Alanyaspor

vs
1.00

Göztepe

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.581.6%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.4%
1-1
16.8%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
10.1%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).