Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.7%
Samsunspor
30.5%
Draw
44.8%
İstanbul Başakşehir
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Samsunspor
vs
1.62
İstanbul Başakşehir
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
0-2
8.0%
0-1
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).