Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Ferrol
30.1%
Draw
46.6%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Ferrol
vs
1.19
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.557.7%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.2%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
4.8%
0-3
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).