Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.4%
Brest
13.9%
Draw
5.7%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Brest
vs
0.43
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS31.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.2%
1-0
15.2%
3-0
13.3%
4-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
1-1
6.0%
0-0
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
5-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).