Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.0%
Montpellier
15.3%
Draw
75.6%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Montpellier
vs
2.33
Lyon
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.8%
0-1
12.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-2
9.0%
1-1
7.2%
1-3
7.0%
0-4
6.3%
0-0
4.6%
1-4
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
0-5
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).