Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
FC Koln
29.2%
Draw
31.2%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
FC Koln
vs
1.17
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).