Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Las Palmas
31.3%
Draw
30.5%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Las Palmas
vs
0.94
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
13.8%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).